The Sahm Rule, Markets, and Recession
As this article is being written, there is a significant amount of downside volatility occurring within equity markets. The S&P 500 peaked on July 16th and, since that high, as of today (8/5/2024) we have seen it sell off 7.9%. The NASDAQ is officially in correction territory (down ~13.1% since it peaked on 7/11/24). One […]
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Shutdown Shock: Government Shutdowns & Market Reaction
In case you didn’t know, a government shutdown is imminent and life as we know it will change forever………again. Or, at least, that’s what the media and our government officials want us to believe. Well, that may be too harsh. How about this? They don’t care what we believe. They’re all making moves that are […]
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Bank Failures in Context – Slivergate, Signature, and SVB
Over the last couple of days, we have seen a media storm about recent bank failures and how these failures may (or may not) signal upcoming bank runs and a crisis in the overall financial system. Is there any truth to this media blitz or is it just more run-of-the-mill fear mongering to boost ratings? […]
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Market Myths Series: The Fed Can Stop Inflation
Over the last few months, we have seen a pretty drastic change in not just the policy stance of the Federal Reserve, but how the organization is viewed and being used as a prop by our elected officials. With midterm elections around the corner, the Republicans are trying to position the Federal Reserve as an […]
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